In the aftermath, many Americans viewed Iran as a nation of fanatics,
and two decades after the hostage crisis, President George W. Bush labeled it, along with Iraq and North Korea, as an “axis of evil” that sponsored terrorism.
At the same time, the U.S. was growing increasingly alarmed at signs that Iran was enriching uranium with the goal of building nuclear bombs. In 2015, President Barack Obama and representatives of a half-dozen other countries signed an agreement with Iran. It greatly restricted Iran’s ability to enrich uranium for 15 years in exchange for an easing of economic sanctions that were crippling Iran’s economy.
But three years later, President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from the agreement, saying it wasn’t tough enough, and imposed new economic punishments. Tensions escalated further in early 2020, when Iran’s top general, Qassim Suleimani, was killed in a targeted American drone strike. Iran responded by launching airstrikes on two Iraqi bases housing U.S. troops, wounding 34 Americans.
Another source of lingering hostility is Iran’s longstanding threat against the two main allies of the U.S. in the Middle East: Israel and Saudi Arabia. The decades-long conflict with Israel is again at a tipping point after the assassination of one of Iran’s top nuclear scientists in November, which is believed to have been carried out by Israel.
With all this going on, U.S. restrictions on purchases of Iranian oil, sales of spare airplane parts, and other economic trade have embittered many Iranians—even some younger Iranians who are also fed up with their own hardline government.
“We are at a historic low point,” says Ghazvinian of the Middle East Center. “Relations have never been this poor.”
When Joe Biden takes the oath of office as president this month, dealing with Iran and its current Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, will be one of his most pressing matters. Biden has promised to rejoin the nuclear pact if Iran agrees to dispose of the substantial quantities of uranium it enriched after the U.S. withdrew. But Iran has indicated that negotiating a deal might not be so simple.
Whatever comes next, Ghazvinian says, any chance of peace between the U.S. and Iran must begin with the two nations dropping their resentment at the “original sins”: the hostage taking and the coup against Mosaddegh.
“Policy-making seems permanently trapped,” he says. “But history reminds us that there is a larger and richer history of admiration, even affection.”