U.S. officials have long considered North Korea to be one of America’s gravest threats, despite its poverty and isolation. It has one of the world’s largest militaries, with 1.3 million soldiers. And despite the efforts of the international community, it has developed a stockpile of nuclear warheads, as well as missiles capable of striking the U.S. mainland, according to Bruce Klingner, a Korea expert at the Heritage Foundation, a Washington, D.C., think tank.
North Korea also has a sophisticated cyber warfare operation that’s capable of launching attacks on other countries’ infrastructure and transportation, Klingner adds.
For decades, the two Koreas have swung between periods of conciliation and saber-rattling. Relations have sunk to new lows in the past few years, as North Korea has ended talks with South Korea and the U.S. and has increasingly viewed South Korea as its enemy.
During President Trump’s first term, he met with Kim Jong Un three times and praised the dictator. He scaled down joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, and he has said he thinks South Korea should pay more for U.S. military protection. With Trump in office, many South Koreans wonder how much they will be able to rely on the U.S. alliance to protect them from the North.
Last year, North Korea and Russia signed a mutual defense treaty, deepening longstanding ties between the two autocratic nations. Russia has been increasingly isolated from the international community since its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, so a partnership with North Korea—another international pariah—makes sense.
Since they signed the treaty, North Korea has been sending large quantities of weapons to Russia to replenish its diminishing stockpile. In November, North Korea sent at least 10,000 troops to fight for Russia in the war against Ukraine. In return, Russia has sent oil and missiles to North Korea.
These developments have only added to the rising tensions on the Korean peninsula.
“The Korean War seems very long ago, like ancient history,” says Klingner. “But the threat is still there. In fact, the North Korean threat has only grown.”